Ukrainian military observers warn the conflict is entering a more destructive phase as Russia prepares to mobilize up to 800,000 recruits by the end of the year. Analyst Artem Karyakin describes fighting in Kostiantynivka as a harbinger of even bloodier battles for Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, with Russian forces using guided bombs, drones, and small-group infiltration to gain ground.
Karyakin argues the war is spiraling into a cycle of mutual destruction, dismissing expectations of a pause or winding down. He credits Ukraine’s recent Kursk incursion with diverting Russian resources eastward, easing pressure on Donbas, but cautions that a new Russian mobilization wave could shift focus toward Kyiv.
Separate analysis from mainstream outlet Gazeta highlights Kremlin plans for a naval blockade, further mobilization, and provocations to escalate the war. The assessments underscore the growing intensity of the conflict and the challenges ahead for Ukrainian forces.




